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THE QUESTION LIBRARY EXTRAORDINARY CLAIMS

Can animals sense earthquakes or storms before they happen?

Can animals sense earthquakes or storms? Separate early-wave detection and observed storm avoidance from reliable prediction, with evidence and limits.

THE SHORT ANSWER

Some animals can respond to environmental signals before people notice danger, but that is not the same as reliably predicting a future disaster. Earthquake waves can reach animals before humans feel stronger shaking; the earthquake has already begun. Storm-avoidance observations also exist. Longer-range earthquake prediction from animal behavior remains unestablished, and the senses or mechanisms behind particular observations need careful testing.

  • An early reaction can detect a disaster already underway.
  • Storm avoidance observations do not prove the sensory mechanism.
  • A useful forecast must count false alarms and missed events.

WHAT WE DON’T KNOW YET

Which signals caused particular animal responses, how broadly storm-avoidance behavior occurs, and whether prospective earthquake-monitoring rules could outperform chance while limiting false alarms.

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS ANSWER

Successful independent, prospective prediction tests at multiple locations, together with controlled evidence identifying the sensed signals, would strengthen the forecasting claims.

The important distinction is between sensing something happening now and predicting something that has not begun. An animal reacting before a person notices a hazard might be detecting a real signal. That would be interesting biology, without requiring knowledge of the future.

Earthquakes and storms also need separate answers. A distant storm can already be generating signals before its dangerous weather reaches a particular location.

THE LONG ANSWER

THE LONG ANSWER · ABOUT 3 MINUTES

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Words worth knowing (3)
P wave
A fast-traveling seismic compression wave that can arrive before stronger shaking.
Infrasound
Sound at frequencies below the usual range of human hearing.
Prospective test
A test whose rules are set before observing the future events it aims to predict.

Sources & further reading

(3) · Checked Oct 5, 2026
  1. Animals & Earthquake Prediction ↗U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Hazards ProgramOfficial assessment distinguishes P-wave detection from unestablished longer-range prediction.
  2. Potential short-term earthquake forecasting by farm animal monitoring ↗Ethology, Wiley2020 observational monitoring reports anticipatory activity under particular farm conditions and proposes additional work toward forecasting.
  3. Tornadic Storm Avoidance Behavior in Breeding Songbirds ↗Current Biology; primary paper hosted by lead author2014 online/2015 issue observation of five warblers; infrasound is a proposed cue, not experimentally confirmed sensing.

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